BEIJING, Feb. 20 (Chen Shuang)-On the 19th, local time, the US Democratic primary debate will be held in Nevada. A few hours before the deadline for qualification assessment, Bloomberg, the former mayor of new york and entrepreneur, was included in the debate team, adding another variable to the situation of the Democratic primary election.
After two rounds of primary elections, US President Trump in the Republican Party was not surprisingly "outstanding", but the Democratic Party showed a trend of "competing for the championship". The "dark horse" and the "veteran" each went to the next city, while the original leader and former vice president Biden suffered successive defeats … …
On February 2, local time, US Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Biden campaigned in Des Moines, the capital of Iowa. China News Service reporter Chen Mengtong photo
Two wars and two defeats, Biden’s election is "unexpected" and it is difficult to turn over?
As a popular candidate who was generally optimistic before, Iowa ranked fourth in the primary election and New Hampshire ranked fifth in the primary election. Biden’s performance can be described as very bleak.
The US "World Journal" said that Biden’s reputation in moderate elections has been surpassed by Buttigieg, the "dark horse" who won the first battle; The Associated Press said that Biden’s poor performance in the first two elections shook the confidence of the voters in the establishment and made the sponsors feel uneasy.
For Biden’s camp, lack of campaign funds is a big risk. Warren, a former strong candidate and a Massachusetts senator, fell out of the "first echelon" because of the exhaustion of campaign funds.
It is reported that Biden’s camp reported that it had only $9 million in early 2020. The Associated Press believes that on the one hand, his "gold-absorbing ability" is far less than that of Senator Sanders; on the other hand, he is not supported by the rich financial resources of former new york mayor and entrepreneur Bloomberg. Therefore, Biden urgently needs to win the next primary election.
At present, Biden is pinning his hopes on Nevada and South Carolina. His campaign team also claimed that when the primary election is moved from a white-majority state to a state with more races, its election will be extremely popular.
On February 3, local time, the Buttigieg camp counted the votes at the Democratic Party caucus meeting in the 72nd district of Des Moines, the capital of Iowa. China News Service reporter Chen Mengtong photo
Famous, Buttigieg became the biggest "dark horse"?
In sharp contrast to Biden’s low election, Buttigieg, who rose abruptly in the two primary elections, was the first to win the election.
On February 3rd, Buttigieg won Iowa by 0.1%. On the 11th, he won the second place in New Hampshire.
It is reported that Buttigieg, who is only 38 years old, was the mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He studied at Oxford University in England and served in Afghanistan. Pragmatic, intelligent and eloquent are the three words most commonly used by his supporters to describe him.
The US media analysis said that Buttigieg’s advantage lies in that he represents the new generation power of the Democratic Party in front of a group of competitors in their 70 s; In terms of policy formulation, he is moderate and steady, and has won the support of some centrist voters. In addition, Buttigieg has created a good public image through practical contact with voters and numerous media interviews.
But his disadvantages are also obvious, including his lack of political experience. It is reported that Buttigieg has no other political experience except serving as the mayor of South Bend for two terms with a population of only 100,000. Their opponents use this point to attack them.
In addition, in the next Nevada and South Carolina primaries, all parties will focus on the votes of Latinos and African-Americans. Whether Buttigieg can win the support of minority voters in a short time is worthy of attention.
Data Map: US Democratic presidential candidate and former mayor of new york, Bloomberg. China News Service reporter Chen Mengtong photo
Will Bloomberg come from behind after spending money on the campaign?
"Mini Mike, major political parties nominated not for sale! Good luck with the debate tomorrow night. Remember, don’t stand on the box. "On the 18th, Trump mocked the Democratic candidate Bloomberg on social media.
Bloomberg is the former mayor of new york and a billionaire with a net worth of $60 billion. Recently, his support rate is also catching up.
According to political analysts, many Democrats believe that Sanders, who is too radical, can’t beat Trump in the general election, Biden, who was once favored, has repeatedly lost, and Bloomberg himself has strong financial resources, so he can compete with Trump in the future … … Therefore, more and more people began to look to Bloomberg.
However, a large amount of personal wealth has also become Bloomberg’s "soft rib." Trump has repeatedly ridiculed him for "spending money" to campaign, and Sanders once criticized: "No matter how much the billionaire is willing to spend on the campaign … … He still can’t create the vitality and enthusiasm of voters, and we need these to defeat Trump. "
In addition, when he was the mayor of new york, Bloomberg promoted the policy of "Stop and Frisk" and was accused of racial discrimination.
The Associated Press believes that on the 19th, other candidates may seize these points and launch an attack on Bloomberg.
Data map: US Democratic presidential candidate Sanders. China News Service reporter Zhang Weiran photo
Body of work, can Saunders have the last laugh?
Among all the Democratic candidates, Sanders, who is 78 years old, has been receiving much attention. The senior left-wing senator, who lost to Hillary Clinton in 2016, temporarily led the way with the second place in Iowa and the first place in New Hampshire.
According to the latest poll released by the US media on the 18th, Sanders was ahead of the second place with a double-digit advantage in the Democratic presidential primary election.
Free education, universal health insurance, tax on the rich, and active response to climate change … … Sanders’ policies attracted a large number of young voters. And his political ideal of being single-minded has also kept many supporters loyal to him.
"Sanders is the only candidate who gave me courage. He convinced me that not only do we need bold and radical changes, but it can actually be achieved," said Aletha Shapiro, a supporter of Sanders.
Another poll shows that Sanders’ personal charm is very prominent, and his scores in "values" and "empathy" obviously exceed those of other presidential candidates.
The BBC believes that Saunders’ speech is passionate. If you want to find a speaker in the Democratic Party who is as good at inciting people’s emotions as Trump, it seems that Saunders is the only option.
Data map: US President Trump.
The American presidential election is a long marathon, and today’s front runners can laugh at the end without seeing it. In this general election, the Democratic Party has a large number of candidates and serious internal friction. Up to now, there has not been a figure in the Democratic Party who can unite the forces of various factions.
In the next few months, which Democrat can win through heavy fighting and who will represent the Democratic Party against Trump is still the focus of attention.
关于作者